Real Estate Business
By : Jaffara Ashik
The Real Estate Business cycle and financial stability are closely correlated. In light of global real estate bubbles, China's real estate cycle has attracted wide attention since 1998. The present paper analyzes three driving factors in the context of the current real estate cycle namely, economic growth, macroeconomic environment and institutional establishment. Based on quantitative analysis, it is concluded that the implications of the current real estate cycle for financial stability include risks of real estate credit exposure, government guarantees and maturity mismatch. Some corresponding policy implications are discussed, such as advancing banking reform, encouraging the rational behavior of local governments and strengthening the regulation of foreign capital flows in and out of China's real estate industry.
That's the gist of a local government initiative to revive real estate investment in Chongqing, one of China's biggest cities. The municipal government in the southwestern metropolis floated a plan in December that said new mortgage holders would be eligible for a refund on a big chunk of their income taxes.
Reviving real estate could be an important part of spurring on China's slowing economy. With widespread homeownership in China, real estate values are a key measure of consumer spending power. And the property sector is among the leading sources of demand for everything from steel to appliances.
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